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Tropical Storm the storm is predicted to escalate to a uncommon category five cyclone as it turns toward the Caribbean island, causing dangerous sudden floods and mudslides.

The cyclone, which recorded wind speeds of up to 120 mph as of 6:00 AM GMT, is now shifting northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is projected to hit the coast by Tuesday, as reported by hurricane specialists.

Alerts of blackouts and disruption to utilities have been released as this storm produces up to 76cm of rainfall and storm surges as high as thirteen feet above ground. "Seek shelter now," locals have been advised.

Melissa is the thirteenth storm in the ongoing Atlantic season, which usually concludes in November.

Highest-Level Hurricane Threat

A category five storm is the most powerful category, with sustained winds of at least 157mph.

Even though the hurricane is projected to diminish in strength to a Category 4 hurricane before arriving at the island, meteorologists said there was "very little practical difference in the total effects" upon reaching the coast, and that the storm will be "just as powerful" when it impacts the country.

Critical Safety Steps

With tropical storm-level winds and rain already expected well before it moves across the island's interior - possibly even the national capital - alerts indicate that "preparations should be rushed to completion".

"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and heavy rainfall has started and will cause severe and deadly sudden floods and numerous rock slides," urged weather authorities.

Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Holness commented: "I know that there are numerous residents who are concerned, who are deeply troubled, and with good reason: concern is justified.

"But the most effective method to manage nervousness and any unease and concern is to stay ready."

Inhabitants are being instructed to protect their properties with sandbags and timber panels, and to accumulate necessary supplies.

Regional Impact

Advisories are also in effect for areas in Haiti such as the primary urban center, the adjacent nation and eastern Cuba, where Melissa is anticipated to bring similar effects by the midweek period.

Landslides already being caused by the cyclone have caused two deaths in the country, according to local authorities.

Future Path

This weather system is projected to move across Cuba by Wednesday before moving through the Antillas Mayores and out into the Atlantic.

By the moment it arrives at Cuba, it is anticipated to have reduced to a third-level hurricane.

Climate Background

Although it is hard to link particular meteorological occurrences to climate change, researchers say it is causing climate patterns increasingly frequent and more intense.

Warmer oceans produce more moisture in the atmosphere, helping fuel the creation of hurricanes.

Ahead of the commencement of this year's Caribbean cyclone season, weather organizations projected higher-than-average occurrence, mentioning elevated ocean temperatures and likely enhanced seasonal rains around African coastal regions - where Atlantic storms frequently develop.